Can you feel it? The current optimism on today’s financial markets is almost palpable. Roughly two months after Ben Bernanke, chairman of the US Federal Reserve, uttered the words “green shoots” of recovery in a television interview, stock markets are up more than 30% across the globe. It doesn’t matter that everyone agrees that the worst is still to come, that unemployment rates are skyrocketing and that the current account deficit of the US will still have to be rebalanced. That is all in the now. What matters is what will happen tomorrow. And we’re seeing green shoots.
Compared with the start of the year – when the global economy was falling off a cliff in a synchronised contraction of unprecedented rapidity – the situation may have improved, but not dramatically. The fact that almost all of the world’s leading economies are still shrinking, some at a still very rapid pace, doesn’t account for much. Today, we have something to look forward to.
Interestingly enough, that’s just what we need to get the economy going again (beside some tremendous fiscal and monetary stimulus that already is in the pipeline). A sustainable recovery will require private investment and consumption. Job cuts in factories and reduced salaries for many others are likely to drag on consumer demand for months. So let’s hope that our expectations of a better future will shorten this recession to a minimum…
…which seems to be the case in India where India Today reports that Tata Motors already has received more than 2 lakh (200 000) bookings for the car Nano several months before it will be released. To keep the hype going, Tata has decided to not manufacture more than 100 000 cars initially and instead randomly distribute them among the potential buyers. The company released a statement concluding that among the three variants of the car, 20 per cent bookings are for the Nano Standard, 30 per cent for the Nano CX and the remaining 50 per cent for the top-end Nano LX.

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